Blog Archives

Big Trouble in Little China

While the US basks in a moment of diminished stress – political shenanigans have abated, the Eurozone isn’t threatening to vacate its currency, America’s economy is puttering along, markets are good, and all the current wars are old wars as … Continue reading

Inflation is Dead, Long Live Inflation

Inflation, which was supposed to be surging by now, is so low and still declining, that our thesis that QE will not end imminently and interest rates won’t pop up much from here is looking like it has legs. After … Continue reading

Why Bashing the Banks is Bad for the Economy

Ever since the 2008/9 recession though certainly not for the first time in history, Americans have engaged in vigorous bank bashing, blaming the banks for the recession, and encouraging politicians to fine them, imprison their managers, and constrict their operations … Continue reading

Flat Spot, or Not?

After the latest display of Congressional dysfunction, will the economy flatten out, or not? Evidence is mounting that there won’t be much effect. Chrysler reported that people kept buying trucks – even more trucks than expected in fact. Factory indices … Continue reading

Market Timing as a Response to Congressional Misbehavior

This blog is inspired by recent client comments about the certainty of a market plunge when Congress is unable to avoid a big mess around the upcoming debt ceiling negotiations. The thought, then, is to take money off the table … Continue reading